| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 1,371 | 44¢ → 63¢ | $857 | +$254 +42% |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk say "AGI / Artificial General Intelligence" during the August 6 AMA?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on July 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Sunday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 15+ times during his AI speech on July 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| "Him" Rotten Tomatoes score is 95 or higher?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 18–25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 396 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" during September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Trump restores local control of DC Police by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 250–264 times August 29–September 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 973 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the next James Bond be British?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 7AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 265–279 times August 29–September 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 135 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 450–474 times August 15–August 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 290–304 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "ICE" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 350–364 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,334 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Solana reach $200 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 95 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 320–334 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 170 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 49 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,055 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$134 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Halal" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will anyone say "Russia" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump disparage Vladimir Putin on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Philippines President events on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 65 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Ethereum all time high before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 340–354 times August 29–September 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 334 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 120 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Alexandria" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 455 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,303 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 454 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 370–384 times August 29–September 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (August 25 - 31)Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 8PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk say "Grok" 5 or more times during the August 6 AMA?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Ethereum above $4800 on August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 6AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times August 1–August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 1AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 723 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 220–234 times August 29–September 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "AIPAC" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?Settled - ready to redeem | Zelenskyy | 20 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 7AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 715 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion 10+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 43 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3200 July 28–August 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 76 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
