| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $26 | +$3 +11% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 424 | 18¢ → 4¢ | $18 | −$58 −76% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 91 | 47¢ → 12¢ | $11 | −$32 −76% |
| Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 34 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $4 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12 | 7¢ → 16¢ | $2 | +$1 +125% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 25 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$3 −76% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CT-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 14 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −53% |
| Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 128 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or higher on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 61 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 608 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$167 −100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 710 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 198 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 91 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 205 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 970 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$157 −100% |
| Will Trump dance during UFC 327?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)Settled - ready to redeem | No | 663 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 375 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,020 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$593 −100% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,356 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$331 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Pope" during TPUSA events on April 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 61 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 249 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 91 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 55 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 450 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$139 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on April 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,757 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$221 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 81 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 368 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$92 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 278 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 229 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,637 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,207 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 950 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$444 −100% |
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | 100 Thieves | 118 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 46 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 37 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 66 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 144 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 49 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 301 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 105 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 411 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$109 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
