| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 50¢ → 35¢ | $138 | −$63 −31% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 132 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $100 | +$6 +6.4% |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | No | 80 | 79¢ → 99¢ | $80 | +$17 +26% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 100 | 72¢ → 80¢ | $80 | +$8 +11% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 150 | 58¢ → 53¢ | $79 | −$8 −9.5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 100 | 61¢ → 74¢ | $74 | +$13 +20% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 400 | 28¢ → 14¢ | $54 | −$58 −52% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 60 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $53 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $46 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $44 | +$5 +13% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 54 | 80¢ → 75¢ | $41 | −$3 −7.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 100 | 69¢ → 41¢ | $41 | −$29 −41% |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 50 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $40 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 84¢ → 79¢ | $39 | −$3 −6.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 200 | 27¢ → 20¢ | $39 | −$15 −28% |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 112d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 76¢ | $38 | −$5 −12% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 40 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $38 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 65¢ → 68¢ | $34 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 74¢ → 68¢ | $34 | −$3 −8.8% |
| Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | No | 44 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $33 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 73¢ → 67¢ | $33 | −$3 −8.9% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 50 | 90¢ → 66¢ | $33 | −$12 −26% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 66¢ → 83¢ | $33 | +$7 +25% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 50 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $32 | −$1 −3.7% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 45 | 75¢ → 72¢ | $32 | −$2 −4.7% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | No | 50 | 63¢ → 61¢ | $31 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 69¢ → 59¢ | $29 | −$5 −15% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 50 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $28 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 39 | 68¢ → 63¢ | $24 | −$2 −8.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 62¢ → 23¢ | $23 | −$39 −64% |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 53 | 60¢ → 40¢ | $21 | −$10 −33% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 49 | 75¢ → 43¢ | $21 | −$16 −43% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 54 | 60¢ → 38¢ | $20 | −$12 −37% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 57¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$8 +73% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 218 | 28¢ → 9¢ | $20 | −$41 −68% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 20 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $19 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 51 | 70¢ → 37¢ | $19 | −$17 −48% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | No | 19 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$3 +22% |
| Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?Ends in 13d | No | 20 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$5 +38% |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 40 | 58¢ → 46¢ | $18 | −$5 −22% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 20 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$2 +16% |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $407,000 and $417,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 20 | 70¢ → 85¢ | $17 | +$3 +21% |
| Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 20 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $17 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 67¢ → 78¢ | $16 | +$2 +16% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 200 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $15 | −$3 −17% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 45¢ → 70¢ | $14 | +$5 +54% |
| KOSPI all-time high before 2028?Ends in 440d | Yes | 50 | 65¢ → 28¢ | $14 | −$19 −58% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 80 | 53¢ → 17¢ | $13 | −$29 −69% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 72¢ → 64¢ | $13 | −$2 −11% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 114 | 45¢ → 11¢ | $12 | −$40 −77% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 59¢ → 57¢ | $12 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | No | 13 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $11 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Ends in 103d | Yes | 20 | 63¢ → 51¢ | $10 | −$2 −20% |
| Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 40 | 67¢ → 23¢ | $9 | −$18 −66% |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 20 | 63¢ → 40¢ | $8 | −$5 −37% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $7 | +$3 +63% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 28 | 71¢ → 22¢ | $6 | −$14 −69% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 10¢ → 11¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 58¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$7 −58% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 35 | 29¢ → 12¢ | $4 | −$6 −58% |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Ends in 164d | Yes | 10 | 66¢ → 39¢ | $4 | −$3 −42% |
| Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 130 | <1¢ → 3¢ | $3 | +$3 +731% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?Ends in 95d | Yes | 40 | 1¢ → 8¢ | $3 | +$3 +1043% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 50 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | No | 100 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?Ends in 11d | No | 4 | 67¢ → 55¢ | $2 | −$1 −19% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$0 −7.4% |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends ended | Yes | 4 | 20¢ → 32¢ | $1 | +$0 +56% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 12 | 49¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$5 −80% |
| Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Ends in 440d | Yes | 412 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$1 −34% |
| Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | Yes | 24 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$2 −70% |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1 | 59¢ → 71¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$0 −29% |
| Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 371 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$1 −64% |
| Will Derrick Henry win the 2026 NFL MVP?Ends in 134d | Yes | 111 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 23¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$1 −52% |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF?Ends in 21d | Yes | 60 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d | Yes | 6 | 1¢ → 8¢ | $0 | +$0 +1400% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 74¢ → 11¢ | $0 | −$3 −86% |
| Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 91d | Yes | 80 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +67% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ends in 2h | Yes | 100 | 78¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$78 −99% |
| Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6 | 31¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −80% |
| Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?Ends in 43d | Yes | 214 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −78% |
| Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 629 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −90% |
| Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Ends in 440d | Yes | 105 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −58% |
| Will Azamat Murzakanov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 260 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −50% |
| Will Brendan Allen be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 507 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −91% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $0 | −$0 −4.2% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 472 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −87% |
| Will Chase DeLauter win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 62d | Yes | 438 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| Will Janelle Kellman win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 15 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +384% |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF + Maori?Ends in 21d | Yes | 138 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −65% |
| Will Joe Ryan win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −91% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3 | 57¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$1 −87% |
| Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6 | 23¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −86% |
| Will Colt Emerson win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 62d | Yes | 356 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −73% |
| Will Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 349 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −89% |
