| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 822 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $761 | −$6 −0.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 986 | 64¢ → 54¢ | $528 | −$105 −17% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 367 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $365 | +$22 +6.5% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?Ends ended | Yes | 462 | 70¢ → 68¢ | $312 | −$13 −3.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | No | 453 | 40¢ → 45¢ | $201 | +$18 +10% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 216 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $189 | −$4 −2.1% |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 2,236 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $175 | +$30 +20% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 180 | 92¢ → 88¢ | $159 | −$6 −3.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 158 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $148 | +$20 +16% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 231 | 59¢ → 60¢ | $138 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 383 | 13¢ → 33¢ | $126 | +$76 +149% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 135 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $121 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 188 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $119 | +$3 +2.7% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?Ends ended | Yes | 121 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $119 | +$23 +24% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 144 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $117 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 120 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $116 | +$3 +2.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 256 | 40¢ → 42¢ | $106 | +$4 +3.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 118 | 72¢ → 88¢ | $103 | +$18 +22% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 134 | 53¢ → 77¢ | $103 | +$32 +45% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 124 | 68¢ → 78¢ | $96 | +$11 +13% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 112 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $95 | +$3 +3.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 111 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $94 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 99 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $93 | +$8 +9.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 141 | 57¢ → 65¢ | $91 | +$11 +13% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 95 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $86 | +$6 +7.3% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 337 | 54¢ → 26¢ | $86 | −$95 −52% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 628 | 46¢ → 14¢ | $85 | −$206 −71% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 204 | 40¢ → 42¢ | $85 | +$3 +3.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 221 | 28¢ → 38¢ | $83 | +$21 +35% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 120 | 63¢ → 69¢ | $82 | +$7 +8.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 217 | 28¢ → 37¢ | $79 | +$18 +29% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 89 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $79 | +$9 +13% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 80 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $78 | +$4 +5.4% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 81 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $72 | +$12 +21% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 81 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $72 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 178 | 59¢ → 41¢ | $72 | −$33 −31% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 82 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $72 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 122 | 62¢ → 58¢ | $71 | −$5 −6.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 90 | 44¢ → 77¢ | $69 | +$29 +72% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 110 | 64¢ → 60¢ | $65 | −$5 −7.0% |
| Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 71 | 77¢ → 91¢ | $65 | +$10 +18% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 64 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $62 | +$2 +2.9% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 214 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $61 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 193 | 30¢ → 32¢ | $61 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?Ends ended | No | 512 | 44¢ → 12¢ | $59 | −$165 −74% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | No | 60 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $58 | +$3 +4.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 59 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $57 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 73 | 67¢ → 77¢ | $56 | +$7 +15% |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $55 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Alexander Isak (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Ends in 225d | No | 60 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $55 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 56 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $53 | +$5 +9.5% |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 72 | 76¢ → 72¢ | $52 | −$3 −5.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 55 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $50 | +$5 +11% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 56 | 62¢ → 87¢ | $49 | +$14 +40% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 51 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $48 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 47 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $47 | +$1 +2.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 45¢ → 66¢ | $44 | +$14 +45% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 117 | 39¢ → 36¢ | $42 | −$4 −8.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 89 | 57¢ → 47¢ | $42 | −$9 −18% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 83 | 49¢ → 50¢ | $41 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 116 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $39 | −$2 −4.1% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $39 | −$2 −4.1% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | No | 41 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $38 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 73¢ → 94¢ | $38 | +$8 +28% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 63 | 64¢ → 60¢ | $37 | −$3 −7.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 44 | 58¢ → 83¢ | $36 | +$11 +42% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 55 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $36 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 73¢ → 90¢ | $36 | +$7 +23% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 42 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $36 | +$2 +7.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 40 | 80¢ → 85¢ | $34 | +$2 +6.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 55 | 56¢ → 60¢ | $32 | +$2 +5.8% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 44 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $32 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 39 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $32 | −$2 −5.5% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 41 | 61¢ → 76¢ | $31 | +$6 +24% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 32 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $31 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Ends in 244d | Yes | 294 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 31 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 148 | 28¢ → 20¢ | $30 | −$12 −29% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 65 | 32¢ → 46¢ | $29 | +$9 +42% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 8h | Yes | 29 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $29 | +$2 +6.2% |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 42 | 59¢ → 68¢ | $29 | +$4 +14% |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?Ends ended | No | 56 | 63¢ → 50¢ | $28 | −$8 −21% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 28 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $26 | +$1 +3.4% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 33 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $24 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Ends ended | Manchester City FC | 27 | 57¢ → 89¢ | $24 | +$9 +56% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | Yes | 61 | 33¢ → 36¢ | $22 | +$2 +9.1% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 133 | 30¢ → 16¢ | $21 | −$19 −48% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 83 | 24¢ → 26¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.2% |
| AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Ends in 8h | Over | 67 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $19 | −$1 −5.0% |
| Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 19 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $18 | +$1 +6.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$2 +11% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 19 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $18 | +$1 +7.0% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 17d | No | 80 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $18 | −$2 −10% |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 256d | No | 19 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $18 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will "The Dreamed Adventure" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 19 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $18 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 63 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $17 | −$3 −14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 26 | 58¢ → 60¢ | $16 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 57¢ → 39¢ | $16 | −$7 −32% |
| Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 16 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 49 | 42¢ → 32¢ | $15 | −$5 −25% |
