| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 3 | 42¢ → 92¢ | $3 | +$1 +118% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | >99¢ → 99¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 2 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Anthropic be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 2 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2 | >99¢ → 98¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Iran target Egypt by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 2 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-12 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.6% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Ends ended | No | 2 | 64¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$1 +52% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 2 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$0 +14% |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 2 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$0 +24% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | 99¢ → 96¢ | $2 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +12% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.1% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-33 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.9% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$0 +9.9% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 48¢ → 63¢ | $2 | +$0 +31% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $2 | +$0 +10% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $2 | +$0 +26% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2 | 52¢ → 92¢ | $2 | +$1 +76% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 64¢ → 89¢ | $2 | +$0 +38% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 69¢ → 85¢ | $2 | +$0 +22% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 134d | No | 2 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | 74¢ → 79¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2 | 68¢ → 78¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 2 | 87¢ → 73¢ | $1 | −$0 −17% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 2 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 440d | Yes | 2 | 23¢ → 56¢ | $1 | +$1 +141% |
| Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 3 | 42¢ → 45¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?Ends in 440d | No | 2 | 90¢ → 66¢ | $1 | −$0 −27% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 4 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 5h | Yes | 2 | 70¢ → 59¢ | $1 | −$0 −15% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2 | 63¢ → 59¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.1% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3 | 49¢ → 37¢ | $1 | −$0 −26% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 3 | 49¢ → 36¢ | $1 | −$0 −28% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 15 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$0 −14% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 3 | 42¢ → 28¢ | $1 | −$0 −32% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 87¢ → 37¢ | $1 | −$1 −57% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 3 | 35¢ → 22¢ | $1 | −$0 −37% |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Ends in 75d | Yes | 6 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $1 | $0 0.0% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 7 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$1 −53% |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 26¢ → 11¢ | $0 | −$1 −58% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 20¢ | $0 | −$1 −60% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 23¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$1 −65% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$1 −79% |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −68% |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −99% |
| Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close at $350-$355 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
