| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 222,222 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $5,222 | +$1,761 +51% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,000 | 21¢ → 77¢ | $1,543 | +$1,116 +262% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5,000 | 32¢ → 24¢ | $1,175 | −$421 −26% |
| Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | No | 1,005 | 51¢ → 98¢ | $986 | +$473 +92% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,446 | 37¢ → 63¢ | $904 | +$371 +70% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,457 | 48¢ → 55¢ | $805 | +$106 +15% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,500 | 52¢ → 53¢ | $795 | +$15 +1.9% |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,086 | 23¢ → 70¢ | $761 | +$507 +199% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 925 | 56¢ → 81¢ | $747 | +$225 +43% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,859 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $734 | +$36 +5.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,018 | 67¢ → 72¢ | $733 | +$51 +7.5% |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,013 | 43¢ → 64¢ | $643 | +$207 +47% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 700 | 40¢ → 92¢ | $641 | +$361 +129% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,148 | 62¢ → 55¢ | $625 | −$90 −13% |
| Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 620 | 58¢ → 96¢ | $593 | +$235 +66% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 1,575 | 48¢ → 37¢ | $590 | −$160 −21% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 100,000 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $550 | +$150 +38% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 665 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $516 | +$41 +8.5% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 723 | 41¢ → 70¢ | $503 | +$205 +69% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 877 | 57¢ → 55¢ | $478 | −$22 −4.4% |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 550 | 66¢ → 87¢ | $476 | +$110 +30% |
| Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 634 | 39¢ → 70¢ | $444 | +$195 +78% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 604 | 17¢ → 73¢ | $441 | +$341 +341% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 537 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $413 | −$3 −0.7% |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 541 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $386 | −$14 −3.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,166 | 19¢ → 31¢ | $356 | +$134 +61% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | No | 440 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $304 | −$3 −1.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,328 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $291 | −$9 −3.0% |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 16d | No | 340 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $273 | −$6 −2.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 880 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $268 | +$12 +4.7% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 368 | 50¢ → 69¢ | $252 | +$68 +37% |
| Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | No | 410 | 56¢ → 57¢ | $236 | +$6 +2.7% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 424 | 59¢ → 56¢ | $235 | −$15 −5.9% |
| Rogers flips El-Sayed for Michigan Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | No | 272 | 76¢ → 86¢ | $234 | +$27 +13% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 257 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $233 | +$37 +19% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 236 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $219 | +$19 +9.7% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 465 | 43¢ → 45¢ | $209 | +$9 +4.7% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 294 | 34¢ → 69¢ | $201 | +$101 +101% |
| Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?Ends in 75d | Yes | 308 | 48¢ → 65¢ | $198 | +$52 +35% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 272 | 54¢ → 72¢ | $194 | +$48 +32% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 269 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $189 | −$11 −5.3% |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 319 | 63¢ → 56¢ | $179 | −$23 −11% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 292 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $174 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 69¢ → 86¢ | $171 | +$33 +24% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | No | 209 | 72¢ → 82¢ | $171 | +$21 +14% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 177 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $152 | +$12 +8.4% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 173 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $147 | +$17 +13% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 54¢ → 73¢ | $145 | +$37 +34% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Ends in 439d | Yes | 424 | 26¢ → 33¢ | $138 | +$30 +27% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 204 | 73¢ → 62¢ | $127 | −$23 −15% |
| Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | No | 130 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $121 | +$25 +26% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 341 | 29¢ → 35¢ | $118 | +$18 +18% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 833 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $117 | −$8 −6.7% |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 440d | Yes | 194 | 56¢ → 55¢ | $107 | −$2 −2.2% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 100 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $93 | +$5 +5.8% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 274 | 30¢ → 32¢ | $86 | +$4 +5.0% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | Yes | 312 | 52¢ → 28¢ | $86 | −$77 −47% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 80 | 70¢ → 95¢ | $76 | +$19 +35% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,097 | 23¢ → 7¢ | $71 | −$179 −71% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 323 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $69 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 278 | 18¢ → 23¢ | $62 | +$12 +25% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 62 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $60 | +$4 +6.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 232 | 19¢ → 24¢ | $54 | +$10 +24% |
| Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 43d | No | 64 | 95¢ → 79¢ | $50 | −$10 −17% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 2,314 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $50 | −$99 −66% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,071 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $44 | −$31 −41% |
| Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 50 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $42 | +$6 +15% |
| Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | No | 40 | 59¢ → 86¢ | $34 | +$11 +45% |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 30 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$6 +24% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $28 | +$8 +40% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?Ends in 8h | Yes | 3,000 | 11¢ → 1¢ | $27 | −$306 −92% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 519 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $26 | −$5 −17% |
| Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,040 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $23 | −$36 −61% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 481 | 21¢ → 5¢ | $22 | −$79 −79% |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 43¢ → 32¢ | $19 | −$7 −27% |
| Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 20 | 65¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$4 +28% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 253 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $12 | −$8 −41% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 28 | 33¢ → 35¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 200 | 25¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$44 −87% |
| Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 60¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 30 | 61¢ → 20¢ | $6 | −$12 −68% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 100 | 60¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$54 −90% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 199 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$1 −17% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 265 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$26 −83% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 18¢ → 27¢ | $5 | +$2 +47% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 26¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 33 | 16¢ → 11¢ | $4 | −$2 −31% |
