| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 20 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $18 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $18 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 20 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $18 | +$0 +0.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 287d | No | 20 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $14 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $13 | −$0 −2.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | Yes | 20 | 55¢ → 56¢ | $11 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 62¢ → 52¢ | $10 | −$2 −16% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 52¢ → 47¢ | $9 | −$1 −8.5% |
| Will primmie play for Paper Rex in 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 20 | 44¢ → 45¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 20 | 49¢ → 45¢ | $9 | −$1 −9.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.1% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 20 | 49¢ → 44¢ | $9 | −$1 −11% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?Ends in 76d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?Ends in 83d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?Ends in 76d | Yes | 10 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 45d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$0 +4.9% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 106d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $7 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | Yes | 10 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $7 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 36¢ → 35¢ | $7 | −$0 −4.1% |
| Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 60¢ → 68¢ | $7 | +$1 +13% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 34¢ | $7 | +$1 +12% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 10 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 20 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $7 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 45d | No | 10 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $7 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 68¢ → 67¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will lukxo have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?Ends in 31d | Yes | 10 | 39¢ → 65¢ | $7 | +$3 +69% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 64¢ | $6 | +$0 +4.1% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 20 | 36¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$1 −11% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 62¢ | $6 | −$1 −16% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10 | 71¢ → 62¢ | $6 | −$1 −13% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | Yes | 10 | 60¢ → 62¢ | $6 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 29¢ → 29¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 53¢ → 53¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?Ends in 58d | No | 10 | 33¢ → 52¢ | $5 | +$2 +56% |
| Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 51¢ | $5 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 10 | 49¢ → 50¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 10 | 48¢ → 47¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.1% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$0 −9.2% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 47¢ → 43¢ | $4 | −$0 −8.5% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 10 | 40¢ → 39¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 39¢ → 38¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | No | 10 | 35¢ → 38¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 10 | 37¢ → 38¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | No | 10 | 60¢ → 36¢ | $4 | −$2 −40% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 36¢ → 36¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 10 | 36¢ → 35¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 20 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $3 | +$0 +9.7% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | No | 10 | 30¢ → 30¢ | $3 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 21¢ → 28¢ | $3 | +$1 +36% |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | No | 10 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $3 | −$0 −5.0% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 10 | 22¢ → 28¢ | $3 | +$1 +33% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 20 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 33¢ → 28¢ | $3 | −$1 −17% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 21¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$2 −36% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 22¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$2 −39% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$1 −34% |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 10 | 39¢ → 26¢ | $3 | −$1 −33% |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 20 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 24¢ | $2 | +$0 +23% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 10 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $2 | −$0 −6.0% |
| Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 10 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $2 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 22¢ | $2 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 10 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $2 | −$0 −11% |
| Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Ends in 24d | No | 10 | 32¢ → 20¢ | $2 | −$1 −39% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?Ends in 45d | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$0 −12% |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 10 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 10 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 49¢ → 66¢ | $1 | +$0 +35% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 10 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$0 −9.1% |
| Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?Ends in 180d | No | 10 | 24¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$2 −81% |
| Will Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?Ends in 31d | No | 10 | 42¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −99% |
| Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
