| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 592 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $56 | −$5 −7.9% |
| FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,211 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $41 | −$27 −40% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 295 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $28 | −$2 −7.4% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 880 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $27 | −$4 −12% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 236 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $21 | +$2 +8.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 318 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $21 | −$2 −8.8% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 161 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $19 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 89 | 16¢ → 19¢ | $17 | +$3 +19% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 249 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $16 | +$1 +8.3% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 277 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $15 | +$4 +35% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 528 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $15 | +$1 +9.6% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 329 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $15 | +$2 +16% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 207 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $14 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 155 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $13 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 372 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $13 | +$6 +75% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 161 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 218 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $12 | +$1 +10.0% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 65 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $11 | −$2 −13% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 206 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $11 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 78 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $11 | −$5 −33% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 335 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $10 | −$4 −25% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 87 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $9 | −$3 −27% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 165 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $9 | −$2 −19% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 94 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $9 | −$3 −23% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d | Yes | 180 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $9 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 518 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $9 | −$7 −45% |
| Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 189 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $8 | −$4 −33% |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 56 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $8 | +$1 +7.7% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 64 | 10¢ → 12¢ | $7 | +$1 +15% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 122 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $7 | −$7 −50% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 86 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 115 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 173 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $6 | −$2 −21% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 74 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $6 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 31 | 18¢ → 20¢ | $6 | +$1 +13% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 65 | 9¢ → 10¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 55 | 10¢ → 11¢ | $6 | +$1 +9.6% |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 304 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $6 | +$2 +54% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 136 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d | Yes | 93 | 18¢ → 6¢ | $5 | −$11 −69% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 68 | 6¢ → 8¢ | $5 | +$1 +25% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 155 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$2 −33% |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 321 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$5 −50% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 164 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $5 | +$1 +33% |
| Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 66 | 18¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$7 −63% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 77 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $4 | +$0 +10.0% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 129 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 16d | Yes | 20 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 84 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$0 −11% |
| Eric Adams charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 38 | 32¢ → 10¢ | $4 | −$8 −68% |
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 270 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$5 −58% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 43 | 13¢ → 8¢ | $3 | −$2 −38% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 42 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $3 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 25 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $3 | −$2 −37% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 83 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$4 −59% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Ends in 75d | Yes | 91 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$5 −65% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 209 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$4 −64% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $2 | −$0 −12% |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 89 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$3 −53% |
| Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 43 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$0 +18% |
| Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 38 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$3 −63% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 52 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 34 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $2 | +$0 +10.0% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 13 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $2 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6 | 22¢ → 32¢ | $2 | +$1 +46% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 14 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 38 | 21¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$6 −78% |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 18 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $2 | +$0 +19% |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 23 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −37% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 46 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$0 −21% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 55 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −31% |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 57 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$2 −57% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.8% |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 37 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −56% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 41 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −36% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 23 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$0 −10% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 19 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $1 | +$0 +37% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 11 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $1 | +$0 +50% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 22 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $1 | +$0 +14% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 65 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$4 −81% |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 33 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$0 −23% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | Yes | 11 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 29¢ → 37¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 19 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$1 −51% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 27 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −39% |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $1 | +$0 +67% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 15¢ | $1 | −$1 −44% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6 | 9¢ → 10¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 11 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −50% |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$0 −7.2% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 9¢ → 12¢ | $0 | +$0 +28% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 17¢ | $0 | −$1 −60% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$0 −25% |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 16 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −71% |
