| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 17 | 40¢ → 89¢ | $15 | +$8 +123% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $13 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +8.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 33¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$4 +134% |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 10 | 43¢ → 73¢ | $7 | +$3 +69% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 51¢ → 64¢ | $6 | +$1 +25% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$1 +24% |
| Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 5 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.5% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.0% |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.2% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 74¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 71¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$1 +25% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.1% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$1 +23% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $4 | −$0 −6.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 5 | 73¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 5 | 66¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$1 +30% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −5.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 89¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −5.1% |
| Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 68¢ → 84¢ | $4 | +$1 +24% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 79d | Yes | 5 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 59¢ → 83¢ | $4 | +$1 +41% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 54¢ → 76¢ | $4 | +$1 +41% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 65¢ → 74¢ | $4 | +$0 +13% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $4 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 5 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $4 | +$0 +8.5% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 4 | 72¢ → 80¢ | $3 | +$0 +10% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 75¢ → 66¢ | $3 | −$0 −12% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 72¢ → 94¢ | $3 | +$1 +30% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 48¢ → 63¢ | $3 | +$1 +30% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 10 | 39¢ → 31¢ | $3 | −$1 −22% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 75¢ → 59¢ | $3 | −$1 −21% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 26¢ → 16¢ | $2 | −$2 −40% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 22¢ → 20¢ | $2 | −$0 −10% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2 | 37¢ → 94¢ | $2 | +$1 +153% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 70¢ → 35¢ | $2 | −$2 −51% |
| Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 65¢ → 35¢ | $2 | −$2 −47% |
| Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$2 −47% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 48¢ → 31¢ | $2 | −$1 −36% |
| Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 42¢ → 28¢ | $1 | −$1 −35% |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$2 −54% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 20 | 47¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$8 −86% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 28¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$3 −70% |
| Will Jozef Králik win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 25 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$2 −66% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 56¢ → 24¢ | $1 | −$2 −58% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 68¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$6 −83% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 38¢ → 89¢ | $1 | +$1 +133% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1 | 0¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$1 −53% |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$3 −77% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 4 | 30¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$1 −42% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 45¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$2 −74% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 40¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$6 −95% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 5 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $0 | +$0 +23% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 15 | 30¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 49 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazSettled - ready to redeem | Carlos Alcaraz | 10 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be red?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Marco Rubio say "Democrat" during Fox News: My View appearance?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 320k and 360k?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 4 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Executive Order signing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US Open WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Elena RybakinaSettled - ready to redeem | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Marco Rubio say "Venezuela" or "Maduro" during Fox News: My View appearance?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
