| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,148 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $1,004 | +$7 +0.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,188 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $1,004 | +$4 +0.4% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,010 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $976 | +$60 +6.6% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 441 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $427 | +$27 +6.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 402 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $356 | +$37 +12% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 322 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $317 | +$20 +6.7% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 287 | 57¢ → 94¢ | $270 | +$105 +63% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 2,321 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $244 | −$36 −13% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 477 | 29¢ → 50¢ | $236 | +$99 +73% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 193 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $175 | +$24 +16% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 230 | 62¢ → 76¢ | $174 | +$30 +21% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 405 | 24¢ → 35¢ | $140 | +$43 +44% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 132 | 75¢ → 95¢ | $126 | +$27 +28% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 159 | 73¢ → 78¢ | $123 | +$7 +5.6% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 125 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $123 | +$6 +5.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 182 | 20¢ → 66¢ | $120 | +$83 +225% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 138 | 67¢ → 77¢ | $106 | +$13 +14% |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 106 | 71¢ → 98¢ | $104 | +$29 +38% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 314 | 22¢ → 32¢ | $100 | +$30 +43% |
| Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 101 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 90 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $89 | +$17 +24% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 117 | 49¢ → 75¢ | $87 | +$29 +51% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 89 | 70¢ → 88¢ | $78 | +$16 +26% |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | No | 93 | 63¢ → 82¢ | $76 | +$18 +30% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 110 | 60¢ → 66¢ | $72 | +$6 +9.2% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 75 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $72 | +$11 +17% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 76 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $70 | +$10 +17% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 91 | 59¢ → 71¢ | $64 | +$10 +19% |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 84 | 63¢ → 73¢ | $61 | +$8 +14% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $53 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$2 +5.7% |
| Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?Ends in 3d | No | 47 | 77¢ → 88¢ | $41 | +$5 +14% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 61 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $39 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 203 | 26¢ → 19¢ | $38 | −$16 −29% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 34 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $34 | +$4 +14% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 142 | 20¢ → 24¢ | $33 | +$5 +19% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 38 | 57¢ → 77¢ | $29 | +$8 +34% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 33 | 64¢ → 88¢ | $29 | +$8 +37% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 42 | 28¢ → 64¢ | $27 | +$15 +123% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 28 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $27 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | No | 31 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $26 | −$1 −2.4% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Ends in 95d | No | 32 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $25 | −$1 −5.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 26 | 37¢ → 94¢ | $24 | +$15 +156% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 25 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $23 | +$3 +16% |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 3,471 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $23 | +$10 +75% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 52 | 35¢ → 43¢ | $22 | +$4 +22% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 114 | 33¢ → 19¢ | $22 | −$16 −42% |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 59 | 42¢ → 34¢ | $20 | −$4 −18% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 52d | Yes | 39 | 46¢ → 47¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 105 | 13¢ → 17¢ | $18 | +$4 +28% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 23 | 23¢ → 76¢ | $18 | +$12 +230% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 12d | No | 55 | 59¢ → 32¢ | $18 | −$15 −46% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 26 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $16 | −$1 −3.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,941 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $15 | −$22 −61% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 260 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $14 | −$9 −39% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 75d | Yes | 266 | 28¢ → 5¢ | $13 | −$61 −82% |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 46 | 37¢ → 28¢ | $13 | −$4 −22% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 276 | 12¢ → 5¢ | $12 | −$22 −64% |
| Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 13 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $12 | +$1 +6.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 287 | 14¢ → 4¢ | $12 | −$30 −71% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 114 | 23¢ → 10¢ | $12 | −$14 −55% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 160 | 74¢ → 7¢ | $10 | −$108 −91% |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Ends in 20d | Yes | 31 | 31¢ → 31¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 120 | 26¢ → 7¢ | $8 | −$22 −73% |
| Will the US lose more than 25k jobs in October?Ends in 20d | No | 8 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $8 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 10 | 53¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$2 +44% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 40 | 37¢ → 19¢ | $7 | −$7 −50% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 10 | 19¢ → 69¢ | $7 | +$5 +263% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | No | 31 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $7 | −$1 −10.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 209 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$19 −74% |
| Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Ends in 19d | Yes | 19 | 32¢ → 33¢ | $6 | +$0 +3.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 100 | 58¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$52 −90% |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | 54¢ → 22¢ | $6 | −$8 −60% |
| USMCA extended in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in October?Ends in 20d | No | 6 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 58 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $5 | −$5 −51% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 440d | Anthropic | 4 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 8 | 41¢ → 54¢ | $4 | +$1 +32% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 170 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$19 −82% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 12 | 23¢ → 34¢ | $4 | +$1 +46% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 66 | 30¢ → 6¢ | $4 | −$16 −81% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 7 | 31¢ → 46¢ | $3 | +$1 +48% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 40¢ → 86¢ | $3 | +$2 +114% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 21 | 35¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$5 −61% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | No | 13 | 8¢ → 19¢ | $2 | +$1 +150% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 9 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $2 | −$0 −11% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 23 | 28¢ → 10¢ | $2 | −$4 −66% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 99 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$3 −59% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9 | 18¢ → 22¢ | $2 | +$0 +19% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 2 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +21% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 23 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $2 | +$0 +9.4% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 19¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$1 −38% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 17 | 53¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$8 −83% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 15 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$0 −11% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 5 | 42¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$2 −71% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7 | 54¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$3 −84% |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 28 | 21¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$5 −91% |
