| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 711 | 9¢ → 89¢ | $633 | +$568 +874% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 185 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $152 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 161 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $103 | +$3 +3.0% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Ends in 8d | Yes | 68 | 44¢ → 46¢ | $31 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 38 | 53¢ → 71¢ | $27 | +$7 +34% |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 71 | 28¢ → 33¢ | $24 | +$4 +18% |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 17 | 59¢ → 69¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 34 | 44¢ → 34¢ | $11 | −$4 −24% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Ends in 8h | Yes | 12 | 89¢ → 73¢ | $9 | −$2 −18% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 143 | 14¢ → 6¢ | $8 | −$12 −61% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 333 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | +$2 +100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 77 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$1 −21% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 119 | 42¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$49 −98% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 199 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 469 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$309 −100% |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 136 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 199 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 162 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Russia" during cabinet meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 324 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$220 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 313 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 92 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 161 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 526 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Karoline Leavitt by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 39 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 114 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 135 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 268 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will Trump post "Ass" or "Shit" on Truth Social this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Warrior" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Space Force" at Defense and Innovation Summit?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,787 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 69 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 107 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 54 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 84 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 121 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 125 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 112 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 149 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 101 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 131 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 78 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 263 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 203 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$135 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 114 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 154 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Speech to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 122 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,912 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,790 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Moon" or "Space" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 64 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 380 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 115 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 192 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 192 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 186 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 165 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 96 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 112 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 74 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 208 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during Fox & Friends appearance?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 78 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 58 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 127 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Pathetic" in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 244 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 132 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 133 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 185 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump name "Hillary" in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during the next White House Press Briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in New York?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 109 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "London" during the next PMQ?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Waitress" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Outside" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 418 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 152 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 283 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 180 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
