| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 94 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $81 | +$4 +5.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 59 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $58 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $57 | −$0 −0.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 75 | 40¢ → 66¢ | $49 | +$19 +64% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 43 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 41 | 68¢ → 94¢ | $38 | +$10 +37% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 40 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $37 | +$2 +6.2% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 85 | 42¢ → 32¢ | $27 | −$9 −25% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 25 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $25 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 96 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $23 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 65¢ → 74¢ | $22 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 28 | 68¢ → 77¢ | $21 | +$2 +13% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 27 | 65¢ → 73¢ | $20 | +$2 +12% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 40 | 66¢ → 48¢ | $19 | −$7 −28% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 24 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $18 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 19 | 67¢ → 93¢ | $18 | +$5 +39% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 20 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$1 +5.0% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 23 | 83¢ → 75¢ | $18 | −$2 −10.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 18 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $16 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 25 | 71¢ → 64¢ | $16 | −$2 −11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 25 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $16 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 17 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $16 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 91¢ → 79¢ | $15 | −$2 −14% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 16 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 16 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 18 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $15 | +$1 +4.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 21 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $15 | +$1 +7.0% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 15 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 17 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 16 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $14 | +$1 +5.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 17 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $13 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $13 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 81¢ → 88¢ | $13 | +$1 +7.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $13 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 119m by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 13 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $13 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 18 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 13 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $12 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 37 | 39¢ → 32¢ | $12 | −$3 −19% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 19 | 58¢ → 61¢ | $12 | +$1 +4.6% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 28 | 45¢ → 37¢ | $10 | −$2 −18% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 20 | 42¢ → 52¢ | $10 | +$2 +22% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 10 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 47 | 24¢ → 22¢ | $10 | −$1 −10% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 16 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 10 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $10 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 90¢ | $9 | +$2 +25% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 52¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$4 +69% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$1 +12% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 9 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $8 | +$1 +11% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 38 | 38¢ → 20¢ | $7 | −$7 −49% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 8 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 11 | 57¢ → 64¢ | $7 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 9 | 57¢ → 77¢ | $7 | +$2 +34% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 9 | 66¢ → 75¢ | $7 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 69¢ → 86¢ | $6 | +$1 +25% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 59¢ → 60¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 7 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $5 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 13 | 27¢ → 41¢ | $5 | +$2 +48% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 5 | 67¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$2 +48% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.4% |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.0% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 5 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 76¢ → 67¢ | $5 | −$1 −12% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.2% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.4% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 6 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.8% |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.9% |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +10% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.0% |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$1 +23% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 5 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.1% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.6% |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 5 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 5 | 83¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.8% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 71¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$1 +26% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.1% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $4 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 64¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$1 +39% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 5 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.2% |
| Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 5 | 69¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$1 +28% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.7% |
