| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 71 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $66 | +$6 +10% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 49 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $46 | +$6 +15% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 48 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $46 | +$6 +16% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $45 | +$6 +15% |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 47 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $45 | +$6 +14% |
| Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | No | 46 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $45 | +$6 +15% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 47 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $45 | +$6 +14% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $45 | +$6 +14% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 49 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $45 | +$5 +12% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 48 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $45 | +$5 +13% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 46 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $44 | +$5 +12% |
| Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Ends ended | No | 48 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $44 | +$4 +11% |
| Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 46 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $44 | +$4 +10% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 49 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $44 | +$4 +10% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 45 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $44 | +$4 +10.0% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 46 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $43 | +$4 +9.9% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $43 | +$4 +9.5% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?Ends in 14d | No | 49 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $43 | +$4 +9.0% |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 45 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $43 | +$4 +9.0% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | No | 44 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $43 | +$3 +8.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 44 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $43 | +$3 +8.8% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $43 | +$3 +7.6% |
| Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 45 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $42 | +$3 +7.4% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $42 | +$3 +7.1% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 44 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $42 | +$3 +6.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $42 | +$3 +6.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 44 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $42 | +$3 +6.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $42 | +$3 +6.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 43 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $42 | +$2 +6.2% |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $42 | +$3 +6.5% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 44 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $42 | +$2 +6.2% |
| Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 69d | No | 44 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $42 | +$2 +6.2% |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 45 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $42 | +$3 +6.4% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $42 | +$2 +5.4% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 42 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $42 | +$2 +5.2% |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 45 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $42 | +$2 +4.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 44 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $42 | +$2 +5.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 43 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $42 | +$2 +4.9% |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 43 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $41 | +$2 +4.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-24 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 42 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $41 | +$2 +4.5% |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $41 | +$2 +4.5% |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 42 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $41 | +$2 +4.3% |
| Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?Ends in 20d | No | 49 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $41 | +$2 +4.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $41 | +$2 +4.2% |
| Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 43 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $41 | +$2 +5.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IN-09 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 42 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $41 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 43 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $41 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 43 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $41 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $41 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Will Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 44 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $41 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 49 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $41 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $41 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $41 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 46 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $41 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 44 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $41 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 43 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $41 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 43 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $41 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 42 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $41 | +$1 +2.5% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 42 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $41 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 42 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $41 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 47 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $40 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $40 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Syria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 43 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $40 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 44 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $40 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 44 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $40 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 43 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $40 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 42 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $40 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $40 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 42 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $40 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 134d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $40 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $40 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Ends in 134d | No | 45 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $40 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 43 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $40 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 44 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $40 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 44 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $40 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Ends in 11d | No | 41 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $40 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 41 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $40 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 41 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $40 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $40 | +$0 +1.2% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $40 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 43 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $40 | +$0 +1.1% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 43 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $40 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 43 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $40 | +$0 +1.1% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 43 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 43 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 45 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | No | 42 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 134d | No | 47 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 8d | No | 49 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.6% |
| US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Greenland snap election called by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 41 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 44 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 44 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $40 | $0 0.0% |
