| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 385 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $248 | −$11 −4.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 233 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $188 | +$9 +4.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 174 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $147 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 157 | 71¢ → 85¢ | $133 | +$21 +19% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 171 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $124 | +$6 +4.9% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 185 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $117 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 188 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $117 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 123 | 32¢ → 89¢ | $109 | +$70 +179% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 172 | 59¢ → 61¢ | $104 | +$3 +3.4% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 97 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $84 | +$16 +24% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 69 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $63 | +$4 +7.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 47 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $40 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $33 | +$4 +15% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $32 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 32 | 70¢ → 88¢ | $28 | +$6 +26% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 167 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $26 | −$4 −12% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 28 | 56¢ → 89¢ | $24 | +$9 +59% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 29 | 61¢ → 81¢ | $23 | +$6 +33% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 440d | No | 28 | 88¢ → 83¢ | $23 | −$2 −6.2% |
| Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 10¢ → 97¢ | $23 | +$20 +881% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 73¢ → 99¢ | $22 | +$6 +36% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 31 | 45¢ → 71¢ | $22 | +$8 +57% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 35¢ → 92¢ | $21 | +$13 +164% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 83 | 48¢ → 25¢ | $20 | −$19 −49% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $20 | +$4 +23% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 27 | 73¢ → 61¢ | $17 | −$3 −17% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 17 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $16 | +$2 +14% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 18 | 75¢ → 90¢ | $16 | +$3 +20% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 105 | 32¢ → 14¢ | $15 | −$19 −55% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 71¢ → 92¢ | $14 | +$3 +28% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 19 | 67¢ → 75¢ | $14 | +$1 +11% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 24 | 66¢ → 59¢ | $14 | −$2 −11% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 41 | 50¢ → 34¢ | $14 | −$7 −33% |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 35 | 49¢ → 35¢ | $12 | −$5 −29% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $12 | +$1 +6.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 54 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $12 | −$1 −10% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 52 | 32¢ → 21¢ | $11 | −$6 −36% |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Ends ended | Yes | 12 | 57¢ → 87¢ | $10 | +$4 +53% |
| Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 11 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 84 | 33¢ → 12¢ | $10 | −$18 −65% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 13 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 44 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 30¢ → 13¢ | $8 | −$10 −58% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 78 | 19¢ → 10¢ | $7 | −$8 −51% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 11 | 47¢ → 68¢ | $7 | +$2 +46% |
| Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 10 | 27¢ → 72¢ | $7 | +$4 +171% |
| Will Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Ends in 9h | No | 9 | 88¢ → 77¢ | $7 | −$1 −13% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 44 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $6 | −$2 −19% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 58 | 69¢ → 11¢ | $6 | −$33 −84% |
| Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Ends ended | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$5 +453% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 7 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $6 | −$0 −3.0% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 59 | 30¢ → 9¢ | $5 | −$13 −70% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 57 | 47¢ → 9¢ | $5 | −$22 −81% |
| Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Ends in 9h | Yes | 32 | 34¢ → 16¢ | $5 | −$6 −54% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 6 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 9h | No | 5 | 67¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$2 +46% |
| Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 19 | 62¢ → 21¢ | $4 | −$8 −67% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 36 | 16¢ → 10¢ | $3 | −$2 −41% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 8 | 29¢ → 43¢ | $3 | +$1 +47% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 3 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $3 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 9h | No | 20 | 45¢ → 16¢ | $3 | −$6 −64% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 24 | 22¢ → 11¢ | $3 | −$3 −50% |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 66¢ → 76¢ | $3 | +$0 +14% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 3 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +12% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | No | 65 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$1 −22% |
| Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | Yes | 7 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 56¢ → 64¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 287d | Yes | 7 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $2 | −$0 −8.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 4 | 41¢ → 54¢ | $2 | +$0 +31% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 28 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $2 | −$2 −50% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 33 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$1 −40% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 2 | 36¢ → 72¢ | $2 | +$1 +99% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 32 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$2 −50% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 13 | 29¢ → 13¢ | $2 | −$2 −57% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7 | 19¢ → 24¢ | $2 | +$0 +24% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 5 | 43¢ → 34¢ | $2 | −$0 −22% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 17¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$1 −39% |
| Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 4 | 29¢ → 36¢ | $2 | +$0 +24% |
| Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4 | 42¢ → 32¢ | $1 | −$0 −25% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 11 | 34¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$2 −63% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 68¢ → 74¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Ends in 75d | Yes | 28 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$2 −65% |
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 9h | Yes | 8 | 21¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$0 −26% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1 | 57¢ → 94¢ | $1 | +$0 +65% |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Ends in 18d | Yes | 12 | 48¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$5 −81% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.4% |
| Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane?Ends in 18d | Yes | 4 | 16¢ → 26¢ | $1 | +$0 +59% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 47 | 24¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$10 −92% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12 | 17¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$1 −53% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 18 | 19¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$3 −77% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d | Yes | 16 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$0 −31% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 153 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$0 −18% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$0 −53% |
| Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Ends in 9h | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −92% |
