| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 532 | 16¢ → 7¢ | $39 | −$48 −55% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 237 | 19¢ → 13¢ | $31 | −$14 −30% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 80 | 15¢ → 34¢ | $27 | +$15 +123% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 45 | 39¢ → 47¢ | $21 | +$4 +22% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 54¢ → 90¢ | $20 | +$8 +66% |
| Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Ends in 25d | Yes | 19 | 62¢ → 99¢ | $19 | +$7 +60% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $57B?Ends in 10d | Yes | 48 | 25¢ → 38¢ | $18 | +$6 +50% |
| Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $18 | +$6 +46% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 120 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $17 | +$5 +45% |
| Will AbbVie Q3 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $6.25B?Ends in 12d | No | 20 | 60¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$5 +40% |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 685 | 24¢ → 2¢ | $16 | −$149 −90% |
| Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 19 | 63¢ → 85¢ | $16 | +$4 +35% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 20 | 61¢ → 80¢ | $16 | +$4 +31% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 17 | 71¢ → 89¢ | $15 | +$3 +25% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 63 | 39¢ → 24¢ | $15 | −$10 −40% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 15 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$3 +23% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 27 | 45¢ → 53¢ | $14 | +$2 +17% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $49B?Ends in 10d | Yes | 15 | 79¢ → 88¢ | $13 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 15 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $13 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Tobias Eriksson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Ends ended | No | 13 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $13 | +$1 +9.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 19 | 64¢ → 70¢ | $13 | +$1 +8.6% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 800,000 and 850,000?Ends in 17d | No | 14 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $13 | +$1 +7.7% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 59¢ → 64¢ | $13 | +$1 +7.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 150 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $13 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | No | 15 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $13 | +$1 +6.0% |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 15 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $13 | +$1 +4.4% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 17 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $12 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 17d | No | 15 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $12 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 14 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | No | 14 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | No | 15 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $12 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 14 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $12 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 214 | 21¢ → 6¢ | $12 | −$33 −74% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 86 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $12 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 15 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $11 | −$1 −4.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 225 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $11 | −$34 −75% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 38 | 32¢ → 31¢ | $11 | −$1 −4.7% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 44 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $11 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Ends in 9d | No | 18 | 67¢ → 62¢ | $11 | −$1 −7.5% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 371 | 16¢ → 3¢ | $11 | −$49 −82% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 13 | 90¢ → 81¢ | $11 | −$1 −9.6% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 153 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $11 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 83¢ → 73¢ | $10 | −$2 −13% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 24 | 50¢ → 42¢ | $10 | −$2 −17% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 29 | 41¢ → 30¢ | $9 | −$3 −27% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 16 | 76¢ → 53¢ | $8 | −$4 −31% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 21 | 56¢ → 39¢ | $8 | −$4 −31% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 197 | 16¢ → 4¢ | $8 | −$24 −76% |
| Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?Ends in 12d | Yes | 29 | 41¢ → 24¢ | $7 | −$5 −43% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 18 | 67¢ → 37¢ | $7 | −$5 −45% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | No | 16 | 73¢ → 37¢ | $6 | −$6 −50% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | Yes | 17 | 69¢ → 35¢ | $6 | −$6 −50% |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Ends in 117d | No | 51 | 23¢ → 11¢ | $6 | −$6 −54% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | No | 14 | 84¢ → 35¢ | $5 | −$7 −58% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 16 | 73¢ → 23¢ | $4 | −$8 −68% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 75 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$8 −70% |
| SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 27 | 44¢ → 11¢ | $3 | −$9 −76% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$9 −77% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 40 | 30¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$9 −79% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 81 | 15¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$9 −79% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 27 | 44¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$10 −80% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 40¢ → 41¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 15 | 80¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$10 −86% |
| Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Ends in 42d | No | 26 | 32¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$8 −91% |
| Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 48¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$2 −93% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 52 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 31 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 407 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Rachel peak at Category 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 31 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 72 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 10-16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Middlesbrough FC leading at halftime?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 81 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 55 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of September 14 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Gimnastic de Tarragona vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 38 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will DN SOOPers Win KeSPA Cup 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 119 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Internacional FC De Palmira win on 2026-08-07?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 636 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Tigres de la UANL vs. Minnesota United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 66 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 252 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
