| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 176 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $149 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 155 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $148 | +$8 +5.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 141 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $123 | +$12 +11% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 158 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $122 | −$12 −8.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 128 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $98 | −$5 −5.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 102 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $90 | +$4 +4.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 88 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $84 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 78 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $78 | +$7 +10% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 436 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $76 | −$11 −12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 109 | 60¢ → 65¢ | $70 | +$5 +7.6% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 72 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $67 | +$5 +7.9% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 64 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $56 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 119 | 35¢ → 47¢ | $56 | +$14 +33% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 89 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $55 | −$2 −2.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 59 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $54 | +$5 +11% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 69 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $52 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 53 | 44¢ → 93¢ | $49 | +$26 +111% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 52 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $48 | +$3 +6.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 6h | Yes | 48 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $47 | +$2 +4.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 4d | Yes | 49 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $47 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 64 | 69¢ → 72¢ | $46 | +$2 +4.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 45 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $45 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 58 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $44 | +$3 +7.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 68 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $43 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 65 | 60¢ → 66¢ | $43 | +$4 +9.2% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 65 | 35¢ → 65¢ | $42 | +$19 +82% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 44 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $41 | +$2 +6.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 264 | 13¢ → 16¢ | $41 | +$7 +19% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 249 | 13¢ → 16¢ | $39 | +$6 +19% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 49 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $36 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 50¢ → 88¢ | $35 | +$15 +75% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 39 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $34 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 340 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $32 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $32 | +$5 +19% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 35 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $31 | +$2 +6.0% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 42 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $31 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 39 | 66¢ → 74¢ | $29 | +$3 +12% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | No | 74 | 32¢ → 39¢ | $28 | +$5 +20% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 30 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $27 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 69 | 30¢ → 38¢ | $26 | +$5 +25% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $25 | +$3 +14% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $24 | +$1 +4.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 25 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $23 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 24 | 68¢ → 94¢ | $22 | +$6 +37% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 65 | 64¢ → 35¢ | $22 | −$19 −46% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 26 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $22 | $0 0.0% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 21 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $20 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 354 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $20 | +$2 +11% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 20 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 19 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 50¢ → 84¢ | $18 | +$7 +68% |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $17 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 18 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $17 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 17 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$3 +24% |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 16 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$3 +21% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 17 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $15 | −$1 −3.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 22 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $14 | −$1 −3.7% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $14 | +$2 +17% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 19 | 63¢ → 70¢ | $13 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 18 | 62¢ → 70¢ | $13 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 13 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $12 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | No | 14 | 69¢ → 74¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.5% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 14 | 69¢ → 68¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 8 | 73¢ → 94¢ | $8 | +$2 +29% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 35¢ → 25¢ | $7 | −$3 −30% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 8 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $6 | +$0 +6.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 53¢ | $5 | −$3 −32% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 6 | 81¢ → 71¢ | $4 | −$1 −13% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 32 | 50¢ → 7¢ | $2 | −$14 −86% |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 3 | 45¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −93% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 89 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 36 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 454 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 49 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Marcio Bittar win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will CDU win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 61 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 321 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 302 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Jaques Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 295 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
