| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 4,421 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $4,134 | +$23 +0.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,560 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $1,551 | +$79 +5.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,311 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $1,272 | +$119 +10% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,060 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $1,002 | −$5 −0.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 600 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $588 | +$16 +2.8% |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 605 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $566 | +$4 +0.6% |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 400 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $395 | +$9 +2.3% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 401 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $390 | +$5 +1.4% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $374 | +$39 +12% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 400 | 63¢ → 91¢ | $362 | +$111 +44% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | No | 350 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $315 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 301 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$21 +7.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 240 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $203 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $199 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $198 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $193 | +$9 +4.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 405 | 50¢ → 47¢ | $188 | −$14 −7.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 200 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $187 | +$5 +2.7% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 200 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$34 +23% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $185 | −$1 −0.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $183 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $181 | +$11 +6.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 200 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $181 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $178 | +$6 +3.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 50¢ → 88¢ | $175 | +$75 +75% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 149 | 64¢ → 99¢ | $148 | +$53 +55% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 150 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $148 | +$8 +5.8% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 106d | No | 203 | 66¢ → 73¢ | $147 | +$13 +9.8% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 64¢ → 69¢ | $138 | +$10 +7.4% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 139 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $133 | +$30 +29% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $130 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 183 | 49¢ → 71¢ | $129 | +$39 +43% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 12d | No | 400 | 33¢ → 32¢ | $128 | −$6 −4.5% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 411 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $113 | −$10 −8.3% |
| Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 38¢ → 37¢ | $109 | −$4 −3.9% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 137 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $108 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 39¢ → 26¢ | $104 | −$50 −32% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026Ends in 44d | No | 100 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$5 +5.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $92 | −$1 −1.1% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 100 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $91 | +$7 +8.5% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 60¢ → 91¢ | $91 | +$31 +51% |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 105 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $90 | +$11 +14% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 101 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 56¢ → 85¢ | $85 | +$29 +52% |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 56¢ → 42¢ | $83 | −$28 −25% |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 90 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $80 | +$11 +16% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 100 | 53¢ → 77¢ | $77 | +$24 +44% |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 79 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $75 | +$12 +20% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $74 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 70 | 61¢ → 97¢ | $68 | +$25 +59% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 76¢ → 67¢ | $67 | −$10 −13% |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 75 | 49¢ → 87¢ | $65 | +$28 +77% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $63 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 79¢ → 57¢ | $58 | −$22 −27% |
| Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $55 | +$9 +20% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 73 | 65¢ → 74¢ | $54 | +$6 +13% |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 55 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $50 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 440d | Anthropic | 50 | 74¢ → 95¢ | $48 | +$11 +29% |
| Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $46 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 274 | 22¢ → 14¢ | $40 | −$22 −35% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 37¢ → 37¢ | $37 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $34 | +$3 +9.3% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 45¢ → 31¢ | $31 | −$14 −31% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 24¢ | $24 | +$11 +81% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 150 | 37¢ → 16¢ | $23 | −$32 −58% |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 41¢ → 42¢ | $21 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 28 | 68¢ → 73¢ | $20 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 74¢ → 69¢ | $16 | −$1 −6.8% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 7,500 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$19 −63% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $9 | −$6 −40% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 58¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$52 −89% |
| Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 37 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$0 −10% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 78d | Yes | 5 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $1 | −$0 −8.6% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 14¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$0 −14% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 16¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$16 −97% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 475 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 153 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 830 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 215 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 605 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | England | 304 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$229 −100% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 205 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 331 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,664 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$695 −100% |
