| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 2,717 | 14¢ → 24¢ | $639 | +$254 +66% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 133 | 75¢ → >99¢ | $133 | +$33 +33% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 434 | 23¢ → 28¢ | $124 | +$24 +24% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 250 | 40¢ → 47¢ | $116 | +$16 +16% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 115 | 41¢ → 94¢ | $107 | +$60 +128% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 208 | 48¢ → 52¢ | $107 | +$7 +7.3% |
| Will Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Ends ended | Yes | 110 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $102 | +$5 +4.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 150 | 42¢ → 63¢ | $94 | +$31 +49% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 380 | 22¢ → 23¢ | $88 | +$5 +5.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | Yes | 156 | 40¢ → 45¢ | $69 | +$7 +11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 111 | 66¢ → 60¢ | $66 | −$7 −9.6% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 286 | 13¢ → 22¢ | $61 | +$24 +65% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 58 | 77¢ → >99¢ | $58 | +$13 +30% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 52¢ → 89¢ | $53 | +$22 +70% |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Ends ended | No | 342 | 5¢ → 15¢ | $51 | +$34 +201% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 89¢ → 82¢ | $49 | −$4 −8.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | 5¢ → >99¢ | $45 | +$43 +1786% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 59 | 3¢ → 71¢ | $41 | +$39 +2043% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$5 +14% |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 74d | Yes | 40 | 1¢ → 94¢ | $38 | +$37 +6868% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 68 | 17¢ → 53¢ | $36 | +$25 +209% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $34 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will Trump say "Truck" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 51¢ → 67¢ | $34 | +$8 +31% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 34 | 32¢ → 96¢ | $32 | +$22 +196% |
| Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | No | 35 | 95¢ → 79¢ | $28 | −$6 −17% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 39¢ → 66¢ | $26 | +$11 +69% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 23 | 85¢ → >99¢ | $23 | +$3 +18% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$20 +0.0% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 20 | 89¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 20 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$2 +13% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KS-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 7¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$18 +1240% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 19 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $19 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 57¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$7 +63% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$2 +10% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $18 | +$1 +8.2% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 59¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$6 +53% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 74¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$3 +22% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 20 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 30 | 29¢ → 57¢ | $17 | +$9 +101% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 430 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $17 | +$10 +125% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 18 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $17 | +$3 +20% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 80¢ | $16 | +$8 +109% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 78¢ | $16 | −$1 −4.3% |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?Ends in 134d | No | 20 | 88¢ → 76¢ | $15 | −$3 −14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 14 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $14 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 70¢ | $14 | +$13 +1267% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?Ends in 256d | No | 20 | 68¢ → 66¢ | $13 | −$1 −3.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 13 | 74¢ → >99¢ | $13 | +$3 +35% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 56¢ → 65¢ | $13 | +$2 +15% |
| Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | No | 20 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $13 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 27 | 45¢ → 47¢ | $13 | +$1 +4.4% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 25 | 14¢ → 43¢ | $11 | +$7 +197% |
| Will SNSD win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | No | 11 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $11 | +$2 +27% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 80 | 1¢ → 13¢ | $11 | +$10 +1869% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 12 | 2¢ → 79¢ | $10 | +$10 +5010% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 10 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$2 +26% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 46¢ | $9 | +$9 +7565% |
| Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Ends in 13d | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 46¢ | $9 | +$8 +666% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.7% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 46¢ → 90¢ | $9 | +$4 +96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 41 | 25¢ → 22¢ | $9 | −$1 −12% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 18¢ → 42¢ | $8 | +$5 +133% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 20 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $8 | $0 0.0% |
| Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 42¢ | $8 | +$8 +2481% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 33 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $8 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 285 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $8 | +$2 +25% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 318 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $8 | −$30 −79% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 64¢ → 80¢ | $8 | +$2 +25% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $8 | −$0 −5.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 60¢ → 75¢ | $8 | +$1 +24% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 80 | 1¢ → 9¢ | $7 | +$7 +1300% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 56¢ → 72¢ | $7 | +$2 +28% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 71¢ | $7 | +$6 +558% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 88¢ → 33¢ | $7 | −$11 −62% |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 33¢ | $7 | +$5 +243% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 33¢ | $7 | +$6 +1677% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 9¢ → 33¢ | $7 | +$5 +248% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 7 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $6 | +$1 +24% |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 30¢ | $6 | +$4 +204% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 43 | 2¢ → 14¢ | $6 | +$5 +542% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 44¢ → 51¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 3¢ → 23¢ | $5 | +$4 +809% |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 20 | 28¢ → 21¢ | $4 | −$1 −25% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 39¢ → 42¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 9¢ → 20¢ | $4 | +$2 +118% |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 65,000 and 70,000?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 19¢ | $4 | +$2 +99% |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $4 | −$1 −16% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 48 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $4 | +$1 +53% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 153 | 65¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$96 −97% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 9¢ → 16¢ | $3 | +$1 +76% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 80 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $3 | +$3 +514% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 6 | 50¢ → 53¢ | $3 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 14¢ | $3 | +$3 +1039% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 14¢ | $3 | +$3 +2030% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 71 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $3 | +$2 +334% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $3 | +$1 +23% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 12 | 2¢ → 22¢ | $3 | +$2 +1298% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 30 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$1 −35% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 35¢ → 26¢ | $3 | −$1 −27% |
