| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 904 | 50¢ → >99¢ | $904 | +$452 +100% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 287d | No | 1,000 | 58¢ → 72¢ | $715 | +$130 +22% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 608 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $514 | +$55 +12% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 70¢ → 88¢ | $438 | +$89 +25% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 480 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $425 | +$34 +8.6% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $391 | +$5 +1.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $388 | +$36 +10% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $384 | +$33 +9.3% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $378 | +$47 +14% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $378 | +$18 +5.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $378 | +$28 +8.0% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $376 | +$69 +22% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $374 | +$6 +1.6% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $370 | +$73 +25% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 400 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $362 | +$32 +9.7% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $356 | +$27 +8.3% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 400 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $347 | +$18 +5.4% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 400 | 73¢ → 79¢ | $314 | +$22 +7.5% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 334 | 73¢ → 90¢ | $299 | +$55 +22% |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 318 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $296 | +$61 +26% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $290 | +$22 +8.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 77¢ → 71¢ | $286 | −$21 −7.0% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $283 | +$10 +3.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 77¢ → 71¢ | $282 | −$25 −8.1% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$18 +6.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$35 +14% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 300 | 62¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$95 +51% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 323 | 60¢ → 86¢ | $278 | +$84 +44% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 400 | 59¢ → 70¢ | $278 | +$42 +18% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 304 | 69¢ → 91¢ | $277 | +$66 +31% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $275 | +$20 +7.6% |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 302 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $269 | +$15 +6.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 38¢ → 89¢ | $266 | +$152 +133% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 47¢ → 89¢ | $266 | +$124 +88% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 400 | 57¢ → 66¢ | $262 | +$33 +14% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 300 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $260 | −$17 −6.0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 300 | 70¢ → 82¢ | $245 | +$33 +16% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 400 | 62¢ → 60¢ | $238 | −$9 −3.6% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 307 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $235 | −$6 −2.4% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 300 | 80¢ → 78¢ | $234 | −$6 −2.5% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $221 | −$8 −3.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 300 | 65¢ → 73¢ | $218 | +$24 +12% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 400 | 37¢ → 53¢ | $214 | +$68 +46% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 400 | 70¢ → 53¢ | $213 | −$66 −24% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 219 | 73¢ → 94¢ | $205 | +$45 +28% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 421 | 70¢ → 48¢ | $200 | −$95 −32% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $195 | +$19 +11% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$20 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 300 | 44¢ → 64¢ | $191 | +$59 +44% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 42¢ → 63¢ | $188 | +$61 +48% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 206 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $187 | +$19 +11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 400 | 43¢ → 42¢ | $166 | −$5 −2.9% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 67¢ → 78¢ | $155 | +$21 +16% |
| Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 160 | 73¢ → 96¢ | $153 | +$36 +31% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $145 | +$7 +5.1% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 490 | 26¢ → 28¢ | $135 | +$6 +4.8% |
| Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 50¢ → 57¢ | $114 | +$14 +14% |
| Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$20 +27% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 406 | 61¢ → 24¢ | $95 | −$152 −61% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 90 | 58¢ → 96¢ | $86 | +$34 +65% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $74 | +$3 +3.5% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 12¢ → 25¢ | $74 | +$38 +104% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 14¢ → 21¢ | $63 | +$21 +50% |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 16d | Yes | 300 | 69¢ → 20¢ | $60 | −$148 −71% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $59 | −$2 −2.5% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 300 | 53¢ → 20¢ | $59 | −$101 −63% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 43¢ → 18¢ | $54 | −$74 −58% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 100 | 35¢ → 54¢ | $54 | +$19 +53% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,500 | <1¢ → 2¢ | $24 | +$17 +234% |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 24 | 16¢ → 88¢ | $21 | +$17 +447% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $18 | −$9 −33% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 500 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $15 | +$1 +8.5% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $14 | +$2 +17% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 20 | 53¢ → 63¢ | $13 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,500 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $12 | +$3 +31% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 49 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $9 | +$2 +30% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 300 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $7 | +$4 +161% |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$11 −66% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 28¢ | $6 | −$2 −24% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 508 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $5 | +$1 +28% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$36 −90% |
| Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $10 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 64¢ → 72¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 904 | 50¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$452 −100% |
