| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,019 | 51¢ → 91¢ | $930 | +$415 +80% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,061 | 58¢ → 76¢ | $801 | +$188 +31% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 684 | 25¢ → 81¢ | $554 | +$384 +225% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $468 | +$45 +11% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $393 | +$47 +13% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $378 | +$54 +17% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 134,449 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $336 | −$714 −68% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 374 | 69¢ → 89¢ | $331 | +$73 +28% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 67¢ → 95¢ | $286 | +$84 +41% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 41¢ → 90¢ | $268 | +$144 +117% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 6,000 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $243 | −$53 −18% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,967 | 45¢ → 12¢ | $226 | −$652 −74% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $197 | +$31 +19% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $196 | +$10 +5.3% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 73¢ → 96¢ | $193 | +$47 +32% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $192 | +$22 +13% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 400 | 85¢ → 47¢ | $186 | −$155 −45% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $169 | −$3 −1.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,115 | 74¢ → 12¢ | $128 | −$693 −84% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 112 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $109 | +$8 +7.7% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $100 | +$16 +19% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$14 +16% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$6 +6.3% |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $93 | +$5 +5.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 53¢ → 87¢ | $87 | +$34 +63% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $82 | +$9 +12% |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 79 | 63¢ → >99¢ | $79 | +$29 +58% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 40¢ → 13¢ | $65 | −$135 −68% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 100 | 49¢ → 60¢ | $59 | +$10 +21% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 100 | 75¢ → 59¢ | $59 | −$17 −22% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 100 | 68¢ → 56¢ | $57 | −$12 −17% |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 31¢ → 92¢ | $55 | +$36 +195% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 65 | 36¢ → 82¢ | $53 | +$30 +124% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 39¢ → 75¢ | $50 | +$24 +90% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$4 +8.1% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$6 +14% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$10 +27% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 50 | 29¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$33 +229% |
| Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $48 | +$8 +21% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 67¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$13 +40% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 41 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$3 +8.5% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $37 | +$5 +17% |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 37 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $36 | +$6 +21% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 69¢ → 85¢ | $34 | +$7 +24% |
| Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 425 | 14¢ → 7¢ | $30 | −$31 −51% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 57 | 63¢ → 47¢ | $27 | −$9 −26% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 13¢ → 53¢ | $26 | +$20 +307% |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 23 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $21 | +$3 +17% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | No | 684 | 77¢ → 3¢ | $17 | −$509 −97% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 1,050 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $17 | −$76 −81% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 59¢ → 13¢ | $13 | −$46 −78% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 26¢ → 6¢ | $11 | −$41 −79% |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 17d | Yes | 18 | 56¢ → 44¢ | $8 | −$2 −22% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 51¢ → 12¢ | $6 | −$20 −77% |
| UK Recession in 2026?Ends in 195d | No | 5 | 46¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$2 +103% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 18¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$15 −82% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 165d | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$22 −92% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 41¢ → 53¢ | $1 | +$0 +29% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 50 | 59¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,010 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,357 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$382 −100% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 210 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,008 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$520 −100% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 119 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,967 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$156 −100% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,361 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$410 −100% |
| Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,293 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$352 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 270 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$178 −100% |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 369 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| Will "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$248 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,784 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$656 −100% |
| Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
