| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 22,902 | 22¢ → 16¢ | $3,550 | −$1,404 −28% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 11,149 | 30¢ → 18¢ | $1,951 | −$1,365 −41% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 48,591 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $1,871 | −$4,571 −71% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 25¢ → 89¢ | $885 | +$631 +248% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,010 | 24¢ → 20¢ | $802 | −$165 −17% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 25,495 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $676 | +$136 +25% |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,095 | 29¢ → 50¢ | $547 | +$225 +70% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$48 +32% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,443 | 12¢ → 5¢ | $200 | −$319 −61% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 200 | 73¢ → 85¢ | $170 | +$24 +17% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,143 | 14¢ → 4¢ | $155 | −$445 −74% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,711 | 18¢ → 4¢ | $121 | −$375 −76% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 909 | 22¢ → 12¢ | $105 | −$95 −48% |
| Will Trump nationalize elections?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,106 | 19¢ → 9¢ | $100 | −$110 −52% |
| Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,191 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $84 | −$146 −63% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,580 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $63 | −$38 −38% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,111 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $51 | −$149 −74% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,124 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $42 | −$70 −63% |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,980 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $37 | −$163 −82% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 19¢ → 13¢ | $25 | −$13 −34% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 435 | 23¢ → 6¢ | $24 | −$76 −76% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 526 | 19¢ → 5¢ | $24 | −$76 −76% |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 364 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $22 | −$18 −45% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 455 | 22¢ → 4¢ | $17 | −$83 −83% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 376 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $8 | −$32 −81% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$5 −50% |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 208 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$16 −76% |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 21¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$17 −83% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 476 | 21¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$97 −97% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 840 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 658 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 800 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$216 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,736 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$142 −100% |
| Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 286 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 985 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 385 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 507 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,949 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,004 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$700 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 222 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| US strike on Cuba by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,654 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 317 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,443 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$182 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 210 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 388 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 791 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 444 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 182 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,006 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$720 −100% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 900 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$126 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,401 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$126 −100% |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 192 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,703 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 220 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 178 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 351 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 291 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 516 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,223 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,426 −100% |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,541 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 642 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,428 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 870 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 670 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,559 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 45 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,461 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$231 −100% |
| Fed rate cut by October meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 988 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,084 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Fed rate cut in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 700 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 111 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 304 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 286 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,042 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 866 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Trump cabinet member out before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 590 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$222 −100% |
| Will Iran strike seven countries in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,167 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,498 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 294 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 188 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$92 −100% |
| Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 450 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,910 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$356 −100% |
