| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10,408 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $10,179 | +$556 +5.8% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,781 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $3,650 | +$255 +7.5% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,888 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $2,790 | +$65 +2.4% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 2,247 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $2,184 | +$23 +1.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 2,000 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $1,830 | −$30 −1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,000 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $1,810 | +$35 +2.0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,476 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $1,441 | +$66 +4.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 2,500 | 58¢ → 53¢ | $1,336 | −$107 −7.4% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,700 | 75¢ → 74¢ | $1,250 | −$27 −2.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,250 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $1,241 | +$67 +5.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,115 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1,075 | +$69 +6.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,515 | 69¢ → 60¢ | $901 | −$144 −14% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,000 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $625 | −$5 −0.8% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 567 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $446 | −$24 −5.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 400 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $384 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | Yes | 1,000 | 51¢ → 27¢ | $265 | −$240 −48% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 300 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $260 | −$17 −6.0% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $243 | +$15 +6.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 248 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $238 | +$7 +2.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,000 | 55¢ → 24¢ | $235 | −$315 −57% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 8,023 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $172 | −$159 −48% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,918 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $172 | −$154 −47% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 6,359 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $149 | +$91 +155% |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 150 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $147 | +$24 +19% |
| Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?Ends in 752d | No | 158 | 65¢ → 70¢ | $111 | +$8 +7.7% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,000 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $99 | +$17 +21% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 320 | 33¢ → 28¢ | $91 | −$14 −14% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 438 | 75¢ → 19¢ | $81 | −$250 −75% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 311 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $75 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 111 | 66¢ → 64¢ | $70 | −$3 −3.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 273 | 24¢ → 26¢ | $70 | +$4 +6.2% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 51 | 61¢ → 86¢ | $44 | +$13 +40% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 56 | 64¢ → 76¢ | $42 | +$6 +18% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 44¢ → 5¢ | $27 | −$193 −88% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 234 | 33¢ → 10¢ | $22 | −$55 −71% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 28¢ → 21¢ | $21 | −$8 −27% |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 31¢ → 19¢ | $19 | −$13 −40% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 67¢ → 13¢ | $13 | −$54 −80% |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6 | 53¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$3 +86% |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 211 | 59¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$119 −95% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 33¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$28 −85% |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 14 | 61¢ → 34¢ | $5 | −$4 −45% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 6 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $5 | −$0 −3.0% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 125 | 20¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$23 −92% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 6 | 21¢ → 25¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 15 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −84% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Epstein client list released by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Rob Font | 100 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Dave & Buster's (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 426 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 585 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$190 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 111 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$190 −100% |
| Will Sprinklr (CXM) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "FBI" during the next White House Press Briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 308 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Powell Bingo: MarchSettled - ready to redeem | No | 261 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 103 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" at the rally on Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$264 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$92 −100% |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 255 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$122 −100% |
| Will Base be accused of insider trading?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34,296 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 185 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 450 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "Commander" during the next White House press briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 147 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 448 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 155 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Weed rescheduled by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 322 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$137 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 911 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$396 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,261 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$109 −100% |
| BNP Paribas Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel DialloSettled - ready to redeem | Mattia Bellucci | 194 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$93 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House Press Briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 163 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 175 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,494 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "Left Wing" during the next White House Press Briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 308 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$266 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "Surrender" during the next White House Press Briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 133 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House press briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,043 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$139 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House Press Briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 117 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$930 −100% |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times at the rally on Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 385 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$170 −100% |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 55 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 555 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$316 −100% |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 539 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
