| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,103 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $1,903 | +$16 +0.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,535 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $1,297 | +$15 +1.1% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 932 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $844 | +$7 +0.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 953 | 53¢ → 88¢ | $834 | +$327 +64% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 814 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $787 | +$9 +1.1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 653 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $621 | +$38 +6.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 684 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $619 | +$72 +13% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 647 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $611 | +$24 +4.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 618 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $565 | −$5 −0.9% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 527 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $520 | +$11 +2.2% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 628 | 77¢ → 74¢ | $462 | −$19 −4.0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 442 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $433 | +$2 +0.4% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 466 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $417 | +$5 +1.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 547 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $397 | +$20 +5.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 718 | 57¢ → 53¢ | $384 | −$22 −5.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 332 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $325 | +$7 +2.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 366 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $318 | +$15 +5.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 333 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $311 | +$35 +13% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 361 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $286 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 284 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $279 | +$33 +14% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 291 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $278 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 279 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $261 | +$5 +1.8% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 260 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $251 | +$17 +7.4% |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Ends ended | Yes | 237 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $232 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 231 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $229 | +$10 +4.5% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 237 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $229 | +$2 +0.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 282 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $227 | −$2 −0.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 231 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $218 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 305 | 52¢ → 70¢ | $212 | +$55 +35% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 228 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $211 | +$12 +6.1% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 218 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $206 | +$22 +12% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 212 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $197 | +$34 +21% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $193 | +$3 +1.6% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 193 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $190 | +$7 +3.9% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 196 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $188 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 191 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $181 | +$10 +5.9% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 196 | 68¢ → 88¢ | $173 | +$40 +30% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 23h | Yes | 172 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $169 | +$8 +4.7% |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 175 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $166 | +$5 +2.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 247 | 42¢ → 65¢ | $162 | +$58 +56% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 165 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $157 | +$19 +13% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 190 | 53¢ → 79¢ | $150 | +$50 +50% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 166 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $149 | +$2 +1.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | No | 158 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $144 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 195 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $140 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 167 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $138 | +$13 +10% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 141 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $136 | +$7 +5.3% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 133 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $124 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 123 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $117 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 133 | 65¢ → 87¢ | $115 | +$28 +33% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 133 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $115 | −$2 −1.6% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 118 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $114 | +$9 +8.4% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 112 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $108 | +$3 +3.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 104 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $101 | +$11 +12% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 105 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $99 | +$5 +5.2% |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $95 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 145 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $90 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 99 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $86 | −$0 −0.2% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 88 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $85 | +$4 +5.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 92 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $81 | −$2 −1.8% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 97 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $80 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 83 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $80 | +$3 +3.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 80 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $80 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Will Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | Yes | 89 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $77 | −$2 −2.1% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 82 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $77 | +$4 +4.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 80 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $77 | +$1 +1.8% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 110 | 74¢ → 70¢ | $76 | −$5 −6.3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 362 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $75 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 77 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $75 | +$5 +6.7% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 113 | 37¢ → 65¢ | $73 | +$31 +76% |
| Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 30d | No | 80 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $72 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 71 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $68 | +$5 +7.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 81 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $65 | −$4 −6.2% |
| Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 68 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $65 | +$2 +3.9% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 84 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $64 | −$4 −6.5% |
| Will the African Democratic Congress (ADC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?Ends in 91d | No | 68 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $63 | −$1 −1.9% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 65 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $63 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 65 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $63 | +$3 +5.3% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $63 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 68 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $62 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 65 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $61 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 65 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $61 | +$7 +13% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 62 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $59 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 61 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $58 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 296 | 45¢ → 20¢ | $58 | −$77 −57% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $55 | +$4 +6.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 66 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $54 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 57 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $51 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 316 | 22¢ → 16¢ | $49 | −$21 −30% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 49 | 72¢ → 98¢ | $48 | +$13 +35% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 53 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $48 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 54 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $48 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 51 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $47 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?Ends in 232d | No | 51 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $46 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $46 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 72 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $45 | −$1 −3.1% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 46 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $44 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will Otu Bassey Edet win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | Yes | 56 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $44 | −$3 −5.5% |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 46 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $44 | −$0 −0.1% |
