| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 682 | 67¢ → 80¢ | $542 | +$83 +18% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 275 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $260 | +$5 +2.0% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 260 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $251 | +$27 +12% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 209 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $204 | +$3 +1.5% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 226 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $200 | +$16 +8.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 190 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $161 | +$5 +3.5% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 137 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $133 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 146 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $125 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 105 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $102 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 105 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $101 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 105 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $99 | +$3 +2.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$3 +3.7% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 85 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $80 | +$3 +3.8% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 86 | 73¢ → 89¢ | $76 | +$13 +21% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 95 | 84¢ → 78¢ | $74 | −$5 −6.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 75 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $66 | +$4 +5.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 72 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $65 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 65 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $63 | +$3 +5.0% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $56 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 65 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $53 | −$1 −2.4% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 59 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $48 | +$4 +8.6% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $47 | +$0 +0.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $46 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 46 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $41 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 44 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $40 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 40 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$1 +2.0% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 46 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $38 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 40 | 71¢ → 94¢ | $37 | +$9 +32% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 35 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $34 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 35 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $33 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 40 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $33 | −$2 −4.7% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Ends in 53d | Yes | 40 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $33 | −$2 −5.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 63¢ → 80¢ | $32 | +$7 +27% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 35 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $32 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 49¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$15 +100% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$1 +5.0% |
| Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 30 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$2 +9.0% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 29 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $28 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 40 | 61¢ → 69¢ | $27 | +$3 +11% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 38 | 59¢ → 68¢ | $26 | +$4 +16% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 30 | 88¢ → 81¢ | $24 | −$2 −8.0% |
| Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Ends in 255d | Yes | 25 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $23 | +$2 +11% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?Ends in 60d | Yes | 35 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $23 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 26 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $23 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 150 | 27¢ → 14¢ | $20 | −$20 −50% |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$1 +7.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 17 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $16 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?Ends ended | Yes | 17 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $16 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 23 | 53¢ → 67¢ | $16 | +$3 +26% |
| Will Jakub Rychtecký be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Ends in 255d | No | 15 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $15 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 15 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 66¢ → 73¢ | $15 | +$1 +9.8% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $14 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 82¢ → 71¢ | $14 | −$2 −13% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 30 | 33¢ → 47¢ | $14 | +$4 +42% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 25 | 49¢ → 52¢ | $13 | +$1 +4.7% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $13 | +$1 +7.0% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 13 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $13 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $12 | −$1 −4.1% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $12 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 14 | 62¢ → 84¢ | $12 | +$3 +36% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $11 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 15 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $11 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Ends in 255d | Yes | 10 | 61¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$4 +60% |
| Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Ends in 255d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 98¢ → 96¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 15 | 68¢ → 64¢ | $10 | −$1 −6.3% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will Jiří Veselka be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | No | 10 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.0% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 52d | Yes | 20 | 43¢ → 48¢ | $10 | +$1 +9.2% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 15 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $9 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 73¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$2 +28% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 9 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.0% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $9 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$2 +22% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 10 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$1 +9.9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 8 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 82 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $7 | +$0 +4.9% |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 10 | 60¢ → 73¢ | $7 | +$1 +21% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 61d | Yes | 10 | 67¢ → 72¢ | $7 | +$1 +8.3% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 10 | 60¢ → 69¢ | $7 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 68¢ | $7 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Ends in 19d | Yes | 20 | 32¢ → 33¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 60¢ → 59¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Ends in 19d | Yes | 15 | 40¢ → 39¢ | $6 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 52d | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 52¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | No | 5 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$1 +24% |
| Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 5 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.9% |
