| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 813 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $744 | −$5 −0.7% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 646 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $630 | +$21 +3.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 563 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $476 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 600 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $462 | +$74 +19% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $452 | +$7 +1.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 476 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $445 | +$11 +2.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 490 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $444 | +$4 +1.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 750 | 57¢ → 53¢ | $401 | −$29 −6.8% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 440 | 87¢ → 79¢ | $345 | −$39 −10% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 452 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $323 | +$7 +2.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 437 | 72¢ → 70¢ | $306 | −$10 −3.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $266 | +$35 +15% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 260 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $246 | +$5 +2.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 220 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $208 | +$2 +0.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 323 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $202 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 285 | 62¢ → 70¢ | $198 | +$20 +11% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 214 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $194 | +$14 +7.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 290 | 47¢ → 63¢ | $181 | +$44 +32% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 193 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $171 | +$7 +4.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 157 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $156 | +$10 +6.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 249 | 52¢ → 63¢ | $156 | +$27 +21% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $149 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 154 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $148 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 221 | 58¢ → 65¢ | $143 | +$14 +11% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 150 | 63¢ → 94¢ | $140 | +$46 +48% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 180 | 75¢ → 71¢ | $129 | −$6 −4.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 140 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $118 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 138 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $111 | +$5 +4.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$2 +1.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 147 | 56¢ → 66¢ | $96 | +$13 +16% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$14 +17% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $87 | −$6 −6.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 879 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $82 | +$0 +0.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 290 | 40¢ → 28¢ | $80 | −$36 −31% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 879 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $79 | −$68 −46% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 133 | 45¢ → 59¢ | $78 | +$18 +30% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 78 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $75 | +$6 +8.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 47¢ → 24¢ | $71 | −$70 −50% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 85 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $64 | +$4 +7.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 84 | 57¢ → 72¢ | $60 | +$12 +25% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 63 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $56 | +$6 +13% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 142 | 41¢ → 37¢ | $52 | −$6 −11% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 287d | No | 71 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $51 | −$2 −3.4% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$6 +13% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$2 +4.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $47 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $47 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 180 | 19¢ → 25¢ | $44 | +$10 +28% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 94¢ → 87¢ | $43 | −$4 −8.0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 44 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $43 | −$0 −0.1% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 44 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $42 | −$0 −0.5% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 41 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $40 | +$2 +4.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$2 +4.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 47 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $39 | +$3 +7.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 41 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $38 | +$2 +4.3% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $37 | +$4 +11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 33 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $32 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 759 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $31 | −$10 −25% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 32 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $31 | +$4 +14% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 33 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $31 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 42 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $30 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 32 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $30 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 31 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $30 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$1 +4.0% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$4 +14% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $29 | +$2 +5.6% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $28 | +$4 +15% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $24 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$1 +4.4% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$4 +25% |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$2 +13% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.6% |
| US congress stock trading ban before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | 80¢ → 75¢ | $19 | −$1 −6.3% |
| Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $18 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 16 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $14 | +$2 +13% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 18 | 47¢ → 57¢ | $10 | +$2 +22% |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 99¢ → 97¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $8 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
