| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 327 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $294 | +$18 +6.6% |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 103 | 53¢ → 87¢ | $89 | +$34 +63% |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | Yes | 63 | 71¢ → 66¢ | $42 | −$3 −7.7% |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 33 | 43¢ → 73¢ | $24 | +$10 +69% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $14 | +$2 +18% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 14 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $13 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 13 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $13 | +$1 +9.4% |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | Yes | 49 | 59¢ → 27¢ | $13 | −$16 −55% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $13 | +$3 +26% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 165d | Yes | 11 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.5% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 75¢ → 89¢ | $11 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 11 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 72¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$3 +39% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | No | 10 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 165d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 34¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$6 +190% |
| Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.0% |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $10 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$2 +22% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.7% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$1 +18% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Ends in 440d | No | 9 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | No | 11 | 93¢ → 89¢ | $9 | −$0 −4.8% |
| OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 79d | Meta | 10 | 70¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$2 +33% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $9 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$1 +9.9% |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 165d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?Ends in 287d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 10 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$1 +9.7% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 90¢ | $9 | +$1 +8.4% |
| Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?Ends in 195d | No | 10 | 68¢ → 84¢ | $9 | +$2 +23% |
| Will Jessica Shepard have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$2 +22% |
| Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?Ends in 180d | No | 11 | 64¢ → 78¢ | $9 | +$2 +22% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 11 | 36¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$5 +117% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 9 | 66¢ → 93¢ | $8 | +$2 +41% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 8 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$1 +7.2% |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 8 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Celonis IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 9 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 8 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Ends in 195d | No | 9 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | No | 8 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 256d | No | 9 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$1 +12% |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 8 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $8 | +$1 +11% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA?Ends in 440d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 76¢ | $8 | −$2 −21% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 8 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 79d | Anthropic | 8 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $8 | +$1 +9.6% |
| Will Freddie Freeman lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 8 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 8 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $7 | +$1 +8.9% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 7 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $7 | +$0 +4.4% |
| WHOOP IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $7 | +$1 +24% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 8 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $7 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 62d | No | 7 | 84¢ → 99¢ | $7 | +$1 +18% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 8 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 7 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $7 | +$1 +15% |
| Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $7 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 7 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $7 | +$0 +6.6% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 8 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 8 | 97¢ → 79¢ | $6 | −$1 −19% |
| Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $6 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 97¢ → 85¢ | $6 | −$1 −13% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 8 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $6 | −$0 −1.9% |
| MLB: Scorigami in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 6 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $6 | +$0 +4.6% |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 6 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.7% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +19% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 7 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$1 +12% |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.8% |
| Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$0 +8.4% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $6 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $6 | +$0 +6.0% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $6 | +$1 +15% |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $6 | +$1 +14% |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 65¢ → 92¢ | $6 | +$2 +42% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 6 | 79¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 11 | 79¢ → 48¢ | $5 | −$4 −40% |
| Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 14 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Ends in 440d | Yes | 5 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +30% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 53¢ | $5 | −$4 −42% |
| Printr FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 6 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 63¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$2 +59% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | No | 5 | 70¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$1 +43% |
