| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 669 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $644 | +$82 +15% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 634 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $619 | +$87 +16% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 598 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $586 | +$48 +8.8% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 571 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $550 | +$35 +6.8% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 385 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $372 | +$22 +6.2% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Ends in 105d | No | 344 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $332 | +$52 +18% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 330 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $321 | +$11 +3.5% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 322 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $303 | +$61 +25% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 316 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $300 | +$46 +18% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 296 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $283 | +$52 +22% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 290 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $274 | +$39 +17% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 286 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $264 | +$47 +22% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 270 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $263 | +$20 +8.3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 271 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $263 | +$27 +11% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 268 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $261 | +$40 +18% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 283 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $260 | +$28 +12% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 262 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $251 | +$15 +6.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 256 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $249 | +$16 +6.7% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 260 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $247 | +$16 +6.8% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 271 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $247 | +$37 +17% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 259 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $246 | +$3 +1.1% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 256 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $245 | +$13 +5.8% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 275 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $245 | +$3 +1.1% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 254 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $245 | +$9 +3.7% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $243 | +$8 +3.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 251 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $242 | +$6 +2.6% |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 249 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $236 | +$19 +8.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 280 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $236 | +$4 +1.8% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 252 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $236 | +$19 +8.7% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d | No | 246 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $234 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 236 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $231 | +$9 +4.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 229 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $226 | +$9 +4.2% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 243 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $224 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 237 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $224 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 306 | 77¢ → 73¢ | $222 | −$14 −6.1% |
| Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 225 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $217 | +$15 +7.4% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 218 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $215 | +$6 +3.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 225 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $214 | +$9 +4.3% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 214 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $208 | +$8 +3.9% |
| Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 216 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $206 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 219 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $198 | +$14 +7.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 199 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $193 | +$4 +1.9% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 179 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $174 | +$4 +2.6% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 178 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $171 | +$16 +11% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 174 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $170 | +$3 +1.8% |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 174 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $168 | +$3 +1.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 170 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $164 | +$20 +14% |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 181d | No | 166 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $161 | +$3 +1.6% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 166 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $157 | +$26 +20% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MD-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 164 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $156 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 156 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $151 | +$6 +4.3% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 157 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $150 | +$15 +11% |
| Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 157 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $148 | +$10 +7.3% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 151 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $144 | +$11 +8.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 142 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $136 | +$16 +14% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 145 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $136 | +$7 +5.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 137 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $133 | +$2 +1.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 138 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $131 | +$3 +2.7% |
| Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 136 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $130 | +$4 +2.9% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 136 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $129 | +$7 +5.6% |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 129 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $125 | +$8 +6.5% |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 120 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $117 | +$6 +5.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 120 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $117 | +$4 +3.2% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 113 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $108 | +$9 +8.6% |
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Ends in 805d | No | 115 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $106 | +$4 +4.1% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 104 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $100 | +$5 +5.6% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 102 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $97 | +$4 +4.6% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 101 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $92 | +$13 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 94 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $91 | +$3 +3.4% |
| Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 93 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $91 | +$7 +8.0% |
| Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 89 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $88 | +$3 +3.5% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 87 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $85 | +$5 +6.3% |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 83 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $79 | +$0 +0.4% |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 84 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $79 | +$8 +11% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 70 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $68 | +$5 +8.2% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 77 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $68 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $66 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $65 | +$3 +4.0% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 68 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $64 | +$5 +8.4% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $62 | +$6 +11% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 69 | 77¢ → 88¢ | $60 | +$7 +14% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 79 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $60 | −$6 −8.6% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 59 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $58 | +$3 +5.5% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 64 | 77¢ → 90¢ | $57 | +$8 +17% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $52 | +$2 +5.0% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $51 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 59 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $51 | +$5 +11% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d | No | 51 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $48 | +$3 +6.3% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 49 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $47 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $44 | +$8 +23% |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 46 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $43 | +$0 +1.1% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 93¢ → 90¢ | $43 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 44 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $43 | +$1 +1.2% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $42 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $40 | +$6 +19% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 49 | 82¢ → 71¢ | $35 | −$5 −12% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 32 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $30 | +$2 +8.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 31 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $30 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 29 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $28 | +$2 +9.0% |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $26 | +$1 +3.1% |
