| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 527 | 69¢ → 74¢ | $387 | +$22 +6.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 395 | 76¢ → 85¢ | $334 | +$34 +11% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 292 | 62¢ → 77¢ | $224 | +$44 +24% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 282 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $221 | −$11 −4.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 251 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $202 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 215 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $188 | +$9 +5.0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 176 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $170 | +$20 +13% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 170 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $165 | +$38 +30% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 175 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $148 | −$2 −1.4% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 125 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $123 | +$13 +12% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 129 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $122 | +$16 +15% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 145 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $121 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 163 | 80¢ → 72¢ | $117 | −$13 −10% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 116 | 66¢ → 95¢ | $110 | +$33 +43% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 126 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $109 | +$23 +27% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 146 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $99 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 116 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $99 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$8 +8.7% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 104 | 98¢ → 94¢ | $98 | −$4 −4.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 125 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $96 | −$4 −4.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 101 | 70¢ → 89¢ | $90 | +$19 +27% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$11 +15% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 86 | 75¢ → 96¢ | $82 | +$18 +28% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 84 | 53¢ → 93¢ | $78 | +$33 +74% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 140 | 72¢ → 54¢ | $75 | −$26 −26% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 105 | 80¢ → 63¢ | $66 | −$18 −21% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 426 | 30¢ → 14¢ | $60 | −$66 −52% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $59 | +$8 +15% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 61 | 69¢ → 89¢ | $54 | +$12 +28% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 59 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $52 | +$7 +15% |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 62 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $51 | +$2 +3.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 100 | 63¢ → 48¢ | $48 | −$15 −24% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 49 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $47 | +$8 +19% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 51 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $45 | +$4 +11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 62 | 73¢ → 70¢ | $43 | −$2 −4.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $43 | +$7 +19% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 58 | 60¢ → 71¢ | $42 | +$6 +18% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 56 | 66¢ → 70¢ | $39 | +$2 +6.0% |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $38 | +$4 +10% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 55 | 55¢ → 69¢ | $37 | +$7 +25% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 40 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $35 | +$3 +11% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 63 | 70¢ → 56¢ | $35 | −$9 −20% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 35 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $34 | +$7 +25% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 50 | 80¢ → 63¢ | $32 | −$8 −21% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 56¢ → 87¢ | $31 | +$11 +53% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $31 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 33 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $30 | +$2 +7.9% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 29 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $28 | +$5 +23% |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 30 | 70¢ → 91¢ | $27 | +$6 +30% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 36 | 63¢ → 76¢ | $27 | +$4 +20% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 29 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $27 | +$4 +18% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 45 | 62¢ → 60¢ | $27 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 28 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $25 | +$2 +6.8% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 139 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $23 | +$2 +9.6% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 26 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $23 | −$0 −0.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 79¢ → 75¢ | $22 | −$1 −5.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | 66¢ → 89¢ | $22 | +$6 +33% |
| Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 137 | 7¢ → 16¢ | $22 | +$12 +116% |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Ends ended | Yes | 23 | 44¢ → 94¢ | $21 | +$11 +113% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 76¢ → 35¢ | $21 | −$25 −54% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | Yes | 58 | 36¢ → 37¢ | $21 | +$0 +0.8% |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$3 +22% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$2 +11% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 84 | 62¢ → 23¢ | $19 | −$33 −64% |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 256d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$2 +10.0% |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended | Yes | 18 | 61¢ → >99¢ | $18 | +$7 +64% |
| Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 18 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $18 | +$3 +18% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 17 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $17 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 17 | 72¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$4 +34% |
| Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended | No | 16 | 87¢ → >99¢ | $16 | +$2 +14% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 16 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$3 +21% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 174 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $16 | −$16 −51% |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 18 | 55¢ → 84¢ | $15 | +$5 +52% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $15 | +$2 +15% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 16 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $15 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 327 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $14 | +$4 +44% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 31 | 65¢ → 47¢ | $14 | −$6 −28% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $13 | +$1 +10.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 17 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $13 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $13 | +$2 +19% |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended | No | 13 | 77¢ → >99¢ | $13 | +$3 +30% |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?Ends in 431d | Yes | 15 | 72¢ → 84¢ | $13 | +$2 +17% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 13 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $13 | +$2 +16% |
| Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $13 | +$1 +5.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 33 | 60¢ → 36¢ | $12 | −$8 −41% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 15 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +8.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 16 | 61¢ → 59¢ | $10 | −$0 −4.1% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$2 +19% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 52 | 58¢ → 12¢ | $6 | −$24 −80% |
| Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 17d | Yes | 22 | 55¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$7 −55% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$10 −72% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 21 | 63¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$9 −72% |
| Will Jerome Powell be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Ends in 806d | No | 2 | 56¢ → 48¢ | $1 | −$0 −15% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 33 | 70¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$22 −97% |
| Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Ends in 805d | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −61% |
| Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
