| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 258 | 17¢ → 29¢ | $74 | +$30 +67% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 240 | 21¢ → 26¢ | $61 | +$11 +21% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 104 | 37¢ → 56¢ | $58 | +$19 +50% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | No | 142 | 27¢ → 38¢ | $54 | +$16 +41% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 184 | 21¢ → 28¢ | $50 | +$12 +31% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 112 | 34¢ → 39¢ | $43 | +$5 +13% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 139 | 28¢ → 31¢ | $42 | +$3 +8.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 107 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $40 | +$2 +4.2% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 143 | 16¢ → 27¢ | $39 | +$16 +72% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | No | 114 | 34¢ → 33¢ | $37 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 101 | 38¢ → 36¢ | $36 | −$3 −6.6% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 124 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $35 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 264 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $35 | −$9 −21% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 196 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $34 | −$3 −7.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 117 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $33 | −$3 −8.1% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 143 | 27¢ → 21¢ | $29 | −$9 −24% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 134 | 29¢ → 22¢ | $29 | −$10 −26% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 103 | 34¢ → 28¢ | $28 | −$7 −19% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 70 | 18¢ → 38¢ | $27 | +$14 +115% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 128 | 30¢ → 20¢ | $25 | −$13 −35% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 83 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $23 | −$2 −8.3% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 104 | 16¢ → 22¢ | $22 | +$6 +34% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 97 | 31¢ → 22¢ | $21 | −$9 −31% |
| Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 273 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $18 | −$12 −41% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 51 | 22¢ → 34¢ | $17 | +$6 +55% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 117 | 33¢ → 14¢ | $16 | −$23 −59% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 75d | Yes | 71 | 16¢ → 21¢ | $15 | +$3 +28% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 63 | 16¢ → 22¢ | $14 | +$3 +34% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 76 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $13 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 58 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $13 | +$1 +13% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 85 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $11 | −$2 −17% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 13 | 27¢ → 77¢ | $10 | +$7 +182% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 56 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $10 | −$1 −13% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 69 | 16¢ → 13¢ | $9 | −$2 −22% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 63 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $7 | −$3 −28% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 63 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $7 | −$4 −36% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 96 | 48¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$40 −87% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 64 | 31¢ → 9¢ | $6 | −$14 −71% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 103 | 21¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$16 −73% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 67 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $5 | −$7 −59% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 59 | 19¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$7 −66% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 63 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $3 | −$8 −70% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 29 | 15¢ → 11¢ | $3 | −$1 −30% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 71 | 16¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$8 −74% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 18 | 25¢ → 13¢ | $2 | −$2 −50% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 19 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$3 −75% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 71 | 19¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$13 −96% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 26 | 16¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$4 −96% |
| Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | Yes | 64 | 15¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −99% |
| CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 240 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 76 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 244 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 108 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 275 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 714 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 78 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will England win?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 266 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in New York?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 84 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 76 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 36 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 68 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 68 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 212 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsSettled - ready to redeem | St. Louis Cardinals | 14 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 31 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 252 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 49 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 331 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 89 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
